Signals scattered in the military notebook. Keep an eye on the weather conditions: in some areas the mud dominates, but in others the frozen ground makes climbing easier. Then there is the analysis of American espionage over the course of the crisis
There are isolated signals in the military notebook, with advances by Ukraine on the east bank of the Dnieper and the analysis of American espionage over the course of the crisis.
Ukrainian special forces Karlson conducted a raid aboard inflatable boats along the river that effectively separates the two sides to the south. The commandos landed on the left bank and hoisted their flag on a crane. A challenge action that also serves as a test to test the area. A repeat of what happened on the Kinburn Peninsula west of Kherson, with a landing of major forces, a maneuver about which conflicting reports circulated. The resistance continued to target opponents from afar who were 20 to 30 kilometers from the watercourse. Instead, the invaders have resumed attacks in the eastern regions, with reported bombings around Kharkiv, Kramatorsk and Donetsk. Keep an eye on the weather conditions: in some areas the mud dominates, in others the frozen ground, which could facilitate the intervention of the armored personnel carriers.
At the Reagan Defense Forum in Simi, California, US Intelligence Director Avril Haines offered some insight but cautious assessments.
1) The contenders are struggling but are now reorganizing to regain the initiative with greater vigour.
2) The occupiers are consuming a large amount of artillery ammunition (20,000 per day, according to the Pentagon) and the national industry cannot keep up with the demand. In fact, Moscow turns to friends abroad (North Korea?). We should add that NATO also has a supply problem, Washington has just signed a contract to build more Himars and Germany will send another 7 Cheetah with anti-aircraft guns (very effective), but they will not be available until spring .
3) Washington is quite optimistic about Ukraine’s prospects.
4) The Kremlin was surprised by the behavior of the troops in the first phase of the invasion, now the leader is aware of the challenge that awaits him, although it is not clear to what extent he has an accurate picture.
In this regard, it will be interesting to see if Vladimir Putin actually decides to visit Donbass. Their spokesman, Dmitri Peskov, spoke of this hypothesis, a trip that would also have political significance, to reaffirm the importance of controlling the occupied territories. Understanding of the parallel work of senior officials. Defense Minister Shoigu flew to Minsk to sign a new military agreement with Belarus, a country playing a rearguard role and keeping Kyiv on guard. According to some sources, a center dedicated to the Russian mobilized has been active in the village of Lyepyel for some time. Deputy Defense Minister Alexander Fomin, on the other hand, was in Tehran for talks with military leaders, contacts who have drawn attention to Iran’s sale of drones and missiles.
December 4, 2022 (change December 4, 2022 | 5:31 p.m.)
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