The Biden administration is preparing for the war in Ukraine could escalate into a frozen conflict similar to the situation on the Korean Peninsula, news site Politico reported Thursday.
A conflict freezes when fighting ceases without the belligerents signing a peace treaty, creating an environment of insecurity and instability. Hostilities may resume at any time. As is the case in Korea.
And it must be stressed that a “frozen conflict” that would mean NATO continuing to arm Kiev would be unacceptable to Moscow.
In my opinion, it could well be that this was discussed at the G7 meeting in Hiroshima, which was also attended by Ukrainian President Zelenskyy. It remains to be seen where the armistice lines acceptable to the two belligerents can be drawn. A special challenge.
Stop the conflict: there is no way for Kiev
Ukraine is firmly opposed to any proposal that would mean losing its territories or freezing the conflict. That’s what the Ukrainians told Chinese special envoy Li Hui, who met with President Zelenskyy a few days ago to discuss the possibility of peace talks.
Kyiv wants Russia to withdraw from all Ukrainian territories it has seized since the invasion began last year, including Crimea. For his part, Putin wants any peace deal to recognize the Ukrainian territories he has annexed as Russian.
In addition, according to Politico, Pentagon analysts do not expect Ukraine to regain its lost territories in its upcoming counteroffensive.
The United States remains committed to providing long-term support to Kiev, as evidenced by the decision to allow its allies to supply Ukraine with US-made F-16 fighter jets.
NATO members want Ukraine to live in osmosis with the organization without becoming a full member. NATO would ensure Ukraine’s weapons were compatible with those of the alliance, and its armies would conduct joint military maneuvers with Ukrainian troops.
NATO Secret Plans
And for the first time since the Cold War and the collapse of the Soviet Union, NATO is plotting war against Russia.
Portal reports that at the forthcoming NATO summit in July in Vilnius, Lithuania, allied leaders will approve secret military plans detailing how to respond to a Russian attack.
They will be completely different from those developed during the Cold War. Since the dissolution of the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact, NATO has grown from 16 to 31 members.
The alliance is preparing to increase its presence on its eastern flank, a move the Russians see as a threat. NATO has recently acquired an important geostrategic advantage there. Its newest member, Finland, shares a 1,300km border with Russia, making it difficult to defend its territory.
In this new environment, it is hard to imagine that the Russians could not include the use of tactical nuclear weapons in their operational plans. They are already threatening to do so regularly in the current conflict.
