The African heatwave is beginning and will peak in the new week, especially around this time between Wednesday 20th and Friday 22nd
Especially on the coasts and in the Po Valley we can expect warm and increasingly muggy days with maximum temperatures that can be dramatically exceeded 40 ° C in Lombardy, Emilia Romagna, Veneto, Tuscany, Lazio, Sardinia, Umbria.
There won’t be a lack of warmth in the rest of Italy either, mainly because of the high humidity.
But how long will we have to deal with the African heat? As expected yesterday, the heat will keep us company for most of next week, so hypothetically at least until 23-24 July.
In the latest updates, especially that of the American model GFSthe possibility of a sudden fresh and unstable Atlantic push only arose around the turn of next weekend, between July 23rd and 24th: This disturbance would cause temperatures in the north to drop to the sound of take a shower and temporal.
However, we must reiterate that it is scenario currently rather isolated and therefore with little possibility of realization.
The average of the scenarios of the same American model, which is the most likely forecast, suggests a slight anticyclone failure over the northern regions, which could mean the return of thunderstorms next weekend is not entirely unlikely.
The English model, on the other hand, is different ECMWF what persistence suggests subtropical currents all of Italy and still very hot from north to south with total freedom from precipitation.
In short, we’re still a long way from defining a true gear change in the Mediterranean, so we’ll just have to wait for the next updates to provide a more reliable forecast.