12/04/2022 15:19 (act. 12/04/2022 16:13)
US intelligence: fighting in Ukraine continues apace ©APA/AFP
The US intelligence service assumes that fighting in Ukraine will continue at a slower pace.
“We’re already seeing sort of a reduced pace of conflict and we expect it to continue in the coming months,” Avril Haines, director of national intelligence, said Saturday (local time) at the annual Reagan National Defense Forum in California. Meanwhile, British intelligence sees Russian support for the war waning.
No signs of decreased strength
Hains said the two countries will try to stockpile supplies in preparation for a post-winter counter-offensive. Despite Russian attacks on the Ukrainian power grid and other civilian facilities, there are no signs of a waning of Ukraine’s will to resist.
She said that Russia is also trying to undermine Ukraine’s ability to track conflicts, adding that Kyiv’s economy has suffered a lot. “Of course, that could have an impact over time. How strong they are depends on how hard they attack, what they’re capable of, how resilient their critical infrastructure is and how well we can help them defend it.
“Return Temporarily”
Russian President Vladimir Putin was stunned that his military couldn’t get more. “He is briefed on the challenges facing the military in Russia. But it’s still not clear to us that he has the full picture at this point. We’re seeing morale and ammunition shortages, logistics and a bunch of other issues that they face.” Russia appears to be using up its military supplies “very quickly”.
Haines said Putin’s political goals in Ukraine may not have changed, but US intelligence analysts have suggested he may be willing to reduce his short-term military goals “temporarily, with the thought that he might return to this one in a later date”. could come back.”
War felt by Russians
Against this backdrop, the Kremlin will find it increasingly difficult to explain the war in Ukraine to its own people, according to the British Defense Ministry’s daily intelligence update on Sunday. “Given that Russia is unlikely to achieve significant battlefield successes in the coming months, it is likely to become increasingly difficult for the Kremlin to gain even the tacit approval of the population.”
According to the British, leaked data from Russian authorities show that only a quarter of the population in Russia now supports the aggressive war in Ukraine. At the beginning of the war it was still 80 percent. However, the partial mobilization in September made the war felt by many people.
112 isolated villages
However, the energy supply situation remained precarious. “Currently, 507 places in eight regions of our country are without power,” Deputy Interior Minister Yevgeny Jenin told Ukrainian television. “The enemy continues to attack the country’s vital infrastructure.” According to Jenin, Regino Kharkiv, with 112 villages cut off from the outside world, was hardest hit.
The Austrian Foreign Ministry confirmed on Sunday to the APA that 21 power generators had already been delivered to Ukraine on Thursday. The delivery, processed by the Red Cross, is destined for Ukrainian hospitals, he said. Other deliveries are planned. In all, more than 300 generators and transformers have already been sent to the country. Meanwhile, Germany fears a new wave of refugees because of the winter war. “We are very concerned because these attacks on the energy infrastructure mean that many people in the freezing temperatures could be forced to leave Ukraine,” German Ambassador to London Miguel Berger told Sky News On Sunday.