The former president would receive the support of 48% of local voters, while former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley edges out Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis at 16% and 20% in the race for second place.
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Donald Trump races to victory in Iowa. The Republican primaries When choosing the candidate for the next American presidential election, they start with the fact that Donald Trump has a big advantage Iowaa state that will begin the long race for the nomination tomorrow, January 15th.
The Opinion pollConducted among a sample of citizens who intend to attend local caucuses, it is prepared for the Des Moines Register, NBC News and Mediacom and is traditionally considered a reliable reference point a few hours before voting.
The former president would collect that Consensus of 48% of local voters, while in the race for second place, former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley overtakes Florida Governor Ron DeSantis by 16% and 20%. In fourth place is biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy with 8%.
“Our supporters put us in a position to win, now all they have to do is show up at the caucuses and do their jobs,” said Trump, commenting on the insights that would allow him to make history. In fact, no candidate has ever won with one such a big scope.
The former president landed in Iowa on Monday evening for the final meetings before the vote and took the opportunity to attack Vivek Ramaswamy, the Republican candidate referred to by many as the “Trump Millennial.” “It's not Maga, don't waste your vote,” the former president said, worried about a possible low turnout at the election rallies due to the polar cold that could punish him.
Trump also knows from personal experience that nothing should be taken for granted, as Republican caucuses are secret and there could be surprises.
In the 2016 In Iowa he was ahead in all polls, but in the end it was the senator from Texas who won Ted Cruz.
Trump card he made one Surprise visit to his campaign aides at the Fort Hotel in Des Moines. CNN reports on it. The former president He spoke for almost 20 minutes and declared a victory”unusual” in tomorrow’s primary election. When asked by journalists in attendance whether he was worried about Nikki Haley's comeback in New Hampshire, Trump replied that he was still ahead in the polls compared to all other Republican candidates.
However, the latest Des Moines Register poll confirms thisRise of Nikki Haley and there is optimism among the former ambassador's staff, even if “nothing is taken for granted.” “Iowa has the first chance in the country to express its desire for a new generation of conservative leaders like Nikki Haley instead of Donald Trump himself.”
A solid second placeformer ambassador It could transform the race for the White House, allowing her to head into the New Hampshire primaries – where she has strong support – with tailwinds and to present herself as a real alternative to Trump.
However, the path to 2024 is not easy for Haley: the consensus among potential voters without a college degree is just 3%, while Trump dominates this area unchallenged.
Who has the most to lose on election night is DeSantis. The former governor of Florida has long been considered the greatest threat to the former president. But his campaign never really got off the ground, and Iowa — where he visited all 99 counties — represents potentially a crucial test: He must prove he is the anti-Trump or he will drop out of the race.
Should he finish third, it would actually confirm the Republican Party's fears about his political appeal and increase pressure on him to step back to allow a race.
Also because it lasts longer Battle between Haley and DeSantis, the greater the advantages for Trump. “Winning campaigns don’t rely on public data,” DeSantis’ staff say in their commentary on the Des Moines Register poll, pointing out that the former governor’s campaign was “perfect for the forecast weather conditions” and low voter turnout benefit.
Even if the result of the Committee Donald Trump's victory seems obvious, but there is no lack of excitement. Given past experiences, Iowa will try to avoid another dark night of vote counting.
In 2012 Mitt Romney He was declared the winner of the caucus, but 16 days later the state Republican Party, having difficulty counting the votes, announced that the real winner was actually Rick Santorum. The 2020 Democratic elections were a debacle with enormous problems: the army of journalists who descended on the state for the momentous event left the state before the results were known. Now everything is ready for election night. It remains to be seen how many brave residents will venture out in temperatures of -30 degrees to make their voices heard.
The main calendar provides for this in Iowa, which sends 40 delegates to the Republican Party Convention New Hampshire to the vote on January 23rd (for Democrats and Republicans) and will culminate in Super Tuesday on March 5th.
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