Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, Presidents of Ukraine and Russia. Photo: Ian Langsdon/Pool/AFP
The West can end the war in Ukraine immediately. All it takes is an agreement between France, Germany and Italy to stop arms supplies to Kiev, forcing it to go to the negotiating table with the Russians. Because without European weapons, NATO is partially paralyzed in its efforts to keep the war going. Against this background, Ukraine was unable to continue the US “proxy war” against Russia, which Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov calls it.
However, this would only be possible through a prior agreement with Moscow in the sense that it would also be brought to the negotiating table. It would not be so difficult if the price of suspending the bombing was also the lifting of Western sanctions against Russia, leading to the formalization of a mutual security treaty with a permanent commitment that neither Russia nor Ukraine use their territories as a base for warlike or virtual attacks on each other.
In this context, the Americans would have the final say on the end of the war. They could continue to supply Kiev with arms, despite the withdrawal of Europeans from a leading position in the conflict. But it would be a disaster for her. They would have to continue investing billions of dollars to keep the war going in northern Europe despite growing resentment from the European people who are being sacrificed to its economic and social consequences with no end in sight.
In addition, the US Treasury Department is being weakened. If, as during the Vietnam War, it adheres to financing the costs of the war in Ukraine simply by issuing money, without straining to increase production, then there will continue to be a strong tendency to inflation in the country itself and a devaluation of the dollar abroad. As a result, the Chinese are having to gradually withdraw from investments abroad, particularly in the US, around $3.2 trillion that they have in reserves!
International financial relations would falter and become unbalanced. And the transition of world economic hegemony from the USA to China, which has already been initiated by Chinese productive power, would be accelerated. Washington had nowhere to run. The American people would suffer brutal consequences in the form of rising inflation at the hands of a war not theirs, but at the hands of an irresponsible clown president who invented the conflict because of his obsession with joining NATO.
Of course, if France, Germany and Italy withdraw funds from Kiev, NATO will explode. The world will return to the point where Mikhail Gorbachev, when he accepted the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact, intended to continue international relations from 1999 onwards. He was betrayed by George Bush. The American president, who added to his pretentious speech about the end of the USSR that the US had “won” the Cold War, cynically ignored Russia’s contribution to the peace process.
However, the explosion of NATO is essential to save the West and the world. Western Europe is being rocked by three crises: the war in the north, the social migration crisis and the climate change crisis. Only the former is still somewhat under control should it withdraw its military support from Ukraine. It might have some control over the others, but to a limited extent, only in the medium or long term. And that depends on immediate and responsible economic decisions.
The most important is in the economic area. In a previous article I pointed out that the global challenge today is to replace war with peace based on fair economic and trade relations between peoples. To this end, there are plans to establish a permanent trade, business and services fair in Latin America in Brazil called LatinRio, to be replicated as a franchise in the form of the BRICS International Trade Belt and beyond. this block.
This belt, combined with China’s Belt and Road Initiative, has the potential to become the most powerful tool of global economic development of our time. In this way, Western Europe will be paved a way to face the challenge of the monstrous legacy of colonialism, the migratory flows that are now mainly from France, Germany and Italy the very countries that hold the key to blowing up NATO the clog urban habitats.
This is because today’s migrations of Africans and Asians to Europe stem from the miserable conditions of the peoples who were previously colonized in the former European metropolises. Europe owes them compensation for the political humiliations and processes of extreme economic exploitation to which they have been subjected for centuries. Without it, they will have to live with the aftermath of the hunger they left in their wake after colonialism was forced to end after World War II.
Therefore, a mutual solution to the European migration problem presupposes the economic and social development of the formerly colonized peoples. Since decent economic and social conditions prevail in the countries of origin, there is no migration pressure from outside. So let Europe replace its war actions with peace initiatives. And let’s start by ending our harmful interference in the war in Ukraine and promoting peaceful initiatives with Lula, Xi Jinping and the Pope.
The third challenge, this global one, must also be met with strong economic instruments. It’s about climate change. This will not be possible without energy conversion and environmental protection measures and will cost a lot of money. To achieve this goal, poor and developing countries must be helped, as they do not have the resources of their own to address it comprehensively. The primary responsibility rests with the rich, who if they don’t respond will perish with the world.
A concentrated scientific effort and a responsible global economic alliance should drive the clean and renewable energy transition in the oil industry, automotive industry, steel industry and other industrial processes and services with high carbon emissions. It is imperative that economic coercion goes beyond rhetoric to ensure that the goals set by the United Nations to tackle climate change are met.
In this case, too, the international trade belt of the BRICS countries, which extends around the world, can play an extremely important role. The permanent exhibitions it envisages are intended to disseminate antipollution technologies and practices that favor preventive measures that can, in this and other ways, influence the slowing down of climate change. This will be the objective ballast of subjective responsibility in the quest for a world with less risk for humanity.
However, it must be emphasized that this cannot be done without an immediate end to the war in Ukraine and without a stable peace agreement between the Kremlin and Kiev. Again, it is worth reiterating something that Chinese President Xi Jinping has insisted on and Brazilian President Luís Inácio Lula da Silva has repeated on numerous occasions: the world must not return to the policy of blockades. In the age of nuclear weapons and mass destruction, that’s too dangerous. And it’s finally time to secure Kant’s eternal peace!
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