War In Ukraine, The Boss Of 007: "We Are At An Impasse, We Are Waiting For New Shipments Of Weapons"

A stalemate in which neither contender has the strength and numbers to make the decisive move. But with one variable: help from allied countries that will allow itUkraine to win the war with that Russiato recover them too Crimea and thus bring the country back to the borders of 1991, those of exit from thesoviet union. The analysis is from Kyrylo Budanovthe intelligence chief of Kyivthe in conversation with the BBCdrew the lines of the short-term development of the conflict Fly. “The situation is simply blocked – he summed up Budanov – It is at an impasse: we cannot completely defeat them on all fronts, but neither can they». The head of 007 refers to the publication of Khersonin November, after which the warmest fronts became others, beginning with Bachmutin the eastern region of Donetsk. But the situation is similar almost everywhere, with Russian forces on the defensive waiting for more men and Ukrainians lacking resources have slowed down winter operations on the ground along the 1,000km front line.

Kyrylo Budanov during the BBC interview

According to some analysts, the company’s potential involvement could shift the balance Belarusbut Budanov does not see this as a viable option, especially since the army of Minsk, which consists of 48,000 men, would not be sufficiently prepared to engage in a complex conflict like the present one. So the Belarusian map would just be a misdirection Wladimir Putin to try to confuse themUkraine, persuaded them to send some men north to guard the southern front. In this sense, Budanov cites an episode that happened a few days ago: a train loaded with Russian soldiers crossed the country and stopped near the border with Belarus. Then, after several hours, it came back. “They made it open, in broad daylight, for everyone to see – the head of the intelligence services explained – but we have no signs of preparations for an invasion of Kyiv or the northern areas by Belarus. Lukashenko He has allowed Putin to use Belarus as a springboard for attacks, but at the same time he is taking all measures to prevent a catastrophe for his country.

Moscow’s new recruits

Reinforcements will therefore be crucial, from men on one side and equipment on the other. Corresponding Budanovhowever, the grafting of fresh forces on the field by the Kremlin It won’t be enough for Russia, which is also now short of missiles and relatively dependable on external assistance. Just look at the caseIran which has supplied the drones massively used in operations these days, but not for fear of other international sanctions which would further bring a country already in trouble from the restrictive measures involved to its knees beyond that goes development plan of nuclear. Ukraine, on the other hand, can count on the support of the West and the USA United States at the forefront. «We look forward to receiving new shipments of more technologically advanced weapons and tools – concluded Budanov – in the end we will recapture all occupied territories, including Crimea. We will bring Ukraine back to the borders of 1991, when independence was declared after the collapse of the Soviet Union.”