The majority of likely Republican caucus participants have said convicting Trump will not affect their support for the resurgent president.
The NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll was conducted last week in Iowa, ahead of Monday's all-important meeting in which Republicans will select their preferred candidate.
Despite the slew of cases against him, Trump has emerged as the front-runner, with most polls predicting he will receive around 50 percent of the vote.
Of the 705 respondents, around 61 percent said they would not care if the former president was convicted of a crime before the general election.
The results come as voters in the battleground state begin voting Monday evening, ushering in the Republican nomination for president in 2024.
According to the latest NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll of likely Iowa voters, a staggering majority of likely Republican caucuses have said a conviction of Donald Trump will not affect their support for the incoming two-term president
Recent polls have placed the former president as the clear front-runner, with rivals Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis – and especially Vivek Ramaswamy – needing to poach significant numbers of supporters if they are to stand a chance against the former president
Meanwhile, recent polls have pegged the former president as something of a sure thing, with rivals Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis – and especially Vivek Ramaswamy – having to withdraw support from him if they hope to stand a chance.
With that in mind, much of the focus in the Midwest on Monday will be on who finishes in second place – as both Haley and DeSantis are trailing in polls but aiming for a rise in subsequent states.
Another important – and perhaps crucial – factor is voter turnout, coupled with concerns that Trump's supporters will stay home given his comfortable lead.
That's why Trump has warned against complacency at recent rallies — showing that a victory for a man whose legal troubles are testing Republicans' willingness to accept him as their nominee is still not a sure thing.
He told several hundred supporters gathered at Sioux Center earlier this month: “In 10 days, the people of this state will cast the most important vote of their entire lives.”
“When you sit back, bad things happen.”
The latest NBC poll should ease those worries somewhat, even if it has little to do with the outlook for turnout in Iowa.
However, it could set a precedent for the other swing and red states to come, where identical caucuses will be held in the coming months.
The unrest outside the caucus shows how much the candidates are struggling, here the CNN Republican presidential debate at Drake University in Des Moines, Iowa, on Wednesday
On Sunday, Trump was photographed proudly raising his fist at an event at Simpson College in Indianola – while donning a “Trump Caucus Captain” hat to encourage potential voters
The latest NBC poll should ease those worries somewhat, even if it has little to do with the outlook for turnout in Iowa
Meanwhile, Trump faces a staggering 91 criminal charges and an ongoing civil fraud case in his home state of New York, but has still campaigned hard in Iowa.
He began last weekend with two Commit to Caucus events, one in the far northwest corner of the state and one in north-central Mason City.
He then maneuvered toward central Iowa to towns like Newton before making his way to Clinton in the far eastern part of the state.
On Sunday, he was photographed at an event at Simpson College in Indianola proudly raising his fist and donning a “Trump Caucus Captain” hat to further encourage voters.
He told a captivated crowd: “Together we will make history, but you must show up and follow these instructions,” before a video played showing instructions on how to gather and when to show up.
His final talk continued: “These meetings are your personal chance to achieve ultimate victory over all liars, cheats, thugs, perverts, cheats, crooks, freaks, creeps and other perfectly nice people.”
“The Washington swamp has done everything in its power to take your voice away.”
“Tomorrow is the time to turn against them, speak out and vote.”
On Sunday, Trump told an enthusiastic crowd, “Together we will make history, but you have to show up and follow these instructions,” before playing a video that showed instructions on how to gather and when to show up
Other interesting findings from the Iowa poll included the detail that nearly half of Haley's Iowa supporters said they would vote for Biden over Trump if the former South Carolina governor doesn't get the Republican nod, and that 36 Percent of potential DeSantis voters expressed doubts about the former president's chances against Biden come November
Other interesting findings from the Iowa poll included the detail that nearly half of Haley's Iowa supporters said they would vote for Biden over Trump if the former South Carolina governor didn't get the Republican nod.
Meanwhile, 56 percent of Haley supporters said convicting Trump would have no impact on their vote in November, while 41 percent responded that it would make them less likely to support Trump.
By contrast, a staggering 70 percent of likely DeSantis voters said it wouldn't matter if Trump were convicted — compared to 26 percent who said it would make them less likely to support the ex-commander in chief.
Also surprising was the fact that 36 percent of potential DeSantis voters expressed doubts about the former president's chances against Biden.
Haley's supporters, meanwhile, were much more divided: 42 percent believed Trump could win against Biden, and 54 percent perhaps thought his legal challenges would make that nearly impossible.
Perhaps most startling, however, was another statistic about Trump supporters who felt committed to Trump — 35 percent of them said a conviction would make them more likely to support their favorite candidate.
Meanwhile, voters will flock to the first formal voter test on Monday morning, braving freezing temperatures that are not expected to rise above minus 2 degrees all day.
Trump supporters braved subzero temperatures Sunday morning to see the former president and 2024 hopeful at a campaign rally in Indianola, Iowa, ahead of Monday's Iowa caucuses, where voters will have their first say in the 2024 presidential election become
Earlier this week, four political analysts polled by Portal said Trump would need a more convincing victory closer to the 30-point margin suggested in the polls to blunt the momentum of others. A strategist told the newspaper that Trump needed to win by at least 15 points to 20 percentage points or risk a loss.
“This is the bare minimum for Trump.” “Anything below that shows vulnerability and is exaggerated as such,” said strategist Doug Heye.
Trump campaign co-manager Chris LaCivita said he was confident the “intensity” of the former president's base would lead to a big victory despite the cold gripping the Midwestern state.
That could prove to be Trump's biggest hurdle, as temperatures — taking wind chill into account — will be closer to 35 degrees below zero, a level of cold considered extreme by even the most hardened Midwesterners.
“If someone is very lucky, they may reach zero,” said National Weather Service meteorologist Allan Curtis, referring to the best-case scenario in terms of warmth.
He added: “No matter how you look at it, it’s going to be bitter.”