Weather: JUNE 2023 the HOTTEST ever! What can we expect in the coming months, also in Italy?
June 2023 the hottest everThe last month of June was the hottest ever!
Really, 2023 could be the hottest year ever, thanks to the combination of the first signs of El Niño and global warming caused by the constant increase in greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere. What is certain is that the data collected from Copernicus Climate Change Service, the EU program to monitor the climate crisis, confirm that June was the hottest month on record worldwide.
The graph below shows the trend of global mean temperature in this first part of the year: the black line always appears above the reference climatic averages, confirming that 2023 could become the hottest year in climatic history.
Global average temperature trendRecord after record that is still being broken in individual areas of the world: In recent weeks, the southwestern United States has suffered from an intense heat dome that is up to 1000 km long 46.6°C in Phoenix (Arizona). South Texas highs recently soared 48°C. China experienced a sustained heatwave with temperatures exceeding 35°C. The North Africa saw the temperatures approaching 50°C. Antarctica, which is currently in winter, is also experiencing unusually high temperatures. Ukraine’s Vernadsky Research Base recently broke the July temperature record 8.7°C and the unprecedented heat of the North Atlantic is rewriting the history of climatology.
The situation becomes particularly critical due to the outbreak of the climate phenomenon El Ninoa periodic event associated with the rising temperatures of the Pacific waters off the South American coasts, usually peaking around Christmas, and which takes its name from Infant Jesus.
FORECAST coming months – In our hemisphere, the El Niño phenomenon is related to a greater anticyclone activity of African origin, which tends to spread over Italy and Europe in summer. This trend is confirmed by the latest updates from the European Center for the month August, they speculate Temperatures well above average between +1 and +3°C over a large part of Italy, even between 3 and 6°C in the north and in Puglia.
Analyzing the map below, one immediately notices the thermal anomaly across most of southern Europe, particularly the Mediterranean, which is likely due to greater interference from the notorious factors African anticyclone. This means that new ones are to be expected stronger and longer-lasting heat waves also in our country between the end of the first ten days and the entire second part of the month.
August Forecast: Temperature Anomaly (European Weather Center) Effects of this changing climate (towards heat) include the Risk of extreme weather events. In fact, with heat, the potential energy also increases and, above all, the thermal contrasts are particularly amplified, Creating a deadly mix for developing more impressive ones storm cells, even up to 10/15 km high.
It is common for large amounts of moisture and heat to stagnate in the lower layers of the atmosphere after a heat wave. Then, with the first fresh and unstable gust at high altitude (usually downhill from northern Europe), the convection movements (hot air rising) favor the formation of violent storms, with high risk hail and in some cases, fortunately more rarely, even by tornadoes.