Analysis of weather forecasts and possible climate impacts in December
Recently we discussed atmospheric dynamics in depth, focusing particularly on atmospheric dynamics Polar vortex and about the possible weather and climate effects that could occur in December.
Polar vortex and stratwarming could influence Christmas weather
Stratospheric warming and its effects
You may have read a detailed analysis of the Stratospheric warming, a phenomenon that will occur soon. This dynamic deserves special attention as it could have a significant impact on the month’s climate. There is no doubt that the stratosphere plays a crucial role in seasonal forecasts, which is why we will continue to monitor it closely.
Hypothesis for the Christmas holidays
With these premises we can begin to formulate some hypotheses for the next Christmas holidays. The dynamics of the stratosphere take time to show their effects, and a weakening of the polar vortex may not become noticeable for several weeks. In Europe, for example, we could see these effects between Christmas and early 2024.
Forecasts and uncertainties
It is important to emphasize that these are hypotheses and not certainties. So it may be that not everything that is written comes true. However, so far our predictions have proven to be “fairly” accurate. So when we expect cold weather during the holiday season, it’s because there are several elements that support this statement. Let’s talk about arctic coldSo don’t expect sub-zero temperatures, which may not occur until the latter part of the season.
Snowfall may occur at low altitudes
Low altitudes could provide ideal conditions for snowfall, and given trends over the last two winters, this would already be a remarkable achievement.
Future updates
Let’s not get too far ahead of the times. We invite you to keep up to date with the regular updates we publish. These updates will confirm or refute our hypotheses, which seem to receive more and more positive elements. Will it be enough? We’ll find out. Certainly, atmospheric and stratospheric dynamics could have a significant impact on weather conditions in December.