Russia could claim to have won the war in Ukraine by May 9, but by that time the conflict could spill over to other countries.
By: VirgilioNotizie | Published on: 04112022 08:33
The next four weeks will be crucial for the fate of the war in Ukraine, perhaps also those marked by further escalation of the conflict. That May 9th In fact, one of the most important holidays in the Russian Federation falls, the day of the victory. Founded in 1965, it commemorates the defeat of Nazi Germany in World War II on the day of the signing of the surrender treaties, signed late in the evening of May 8, 1945, when in Moscow it was the very next day.
May 9th is the decisive day for the war in Ukraine: the reasons
US intelligence sources say it could be on or before May 9, 2022 break up even there War in Ukraine. The date is actually too important for Russia, and speaking of victory in an ongoing conflict runs the risk of putting Vladimir Putin in a bad light.
With the war dissidents and protesters They could use military parades and celebrations with great fanfare in major Federation cities to protest the President. Without the victory message, it could become difficult to avoid force in hometown.
What is happening now Latest news about the war in Ukraine, live and updates
What is happening between Russia and Ukraine? The live coverage of the war, insights and the latest news of the invasion and bombing in progress
What could happen by May 9: will the war in Ukraine be over?
There are two scenarios which could occur by the end of the next 4 weeks. On the one hand victory partially rejected by Russia, with troops up Republics of Donbasswhere Moscow already has allies.
By restricting operations only in this area in which Lugansk is in that Donetskthe Kremlin could actually claim to have liberated the ethnically Russian territories, and thereby “denazified” And “demilitarized“The regions of Ukraine they claim, along with the Crimea.
But Vladimir Putin could step on the gas for you victory total, with an unprecedented deployment of forces and decisive actions even against Kyiv. With the capital falling, with or without the surrender of Volodymyr Zelensky, the Kremlin could claim to have won the war.
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For that i Villages Bornbelow all stand Great Britain and the USA armando Ukraine as much as possible now: The international community knows that next month could be crucial.
No peace after May 9: Russia would continue the war
It could be there until May 9th turning point of war, and Vladimir Putin may decide to risk everything to bring home a result to be announced during the lavish Victory Day celebrations.
The Russian President opted for a change at the top, entrusting military operations in Ukraine to a general known for his iron wrist and atrocities committed in Syria: aleksandr Dvornikovcalled “the Butcher“.
Photo source: ANSA / Alexei Druzhinin / Sputnik / Kremlin General Aleksandr Dvornikov.
He could be the one to lead the troops to victory. And Ukraine to one Loss bloody and with many civilian casualties. It would close a chapter, but it’s hard to imagine Peace.
The specter of World War III after May 9th: the hypotheses
Even in the face of renewed support from the Russian army and citizens, Vladimir Putin may decide to continue invading the country with the establishment of a Federal State puppetdeclare war Miscellaneous nations and lead to a conflict with NATO.
Should Russia actually attack a member country, all signatories to the pact Atlanticbased onArticle 5, would be considered attacked. And then decide to take action self defense.
A scenario that would usher in the world Third World War. And that’s what Western leaders want to avoid at all costs. For that reason, sources close to NATO stress, it is now crucial to move on to support Ukraineto ensure that Russia does not win the conflict and withdraws.
Photo source: EPA / Mikhail Klimentyev / Sputnik / Kremlin