The military point 332 | The question returns, propelled by the great volume of words, by some movements and by the alarms of Kiev, which, however, are at odds with the prudence of American intelligence
Will Belarus Eventually Attack Ukraine? The question returns, propelled by the great volume of words, by some movements and by the alarms of Kiev, which, however, are at odds with the prudence of American intelligence.
warning
A senior Russian foreign official, Aleksey Polishchuk, said Belarusians could get involved directly if Ukrainians strike first with an invasion. The same applies if they were to enter Russian territory. So, judging by these words, this is not a preventive measure, but a reaction. Meanwhile, the two friendly armies continued with drills presented as a deterrent against the enemy, while Moscow Land Forces chief Oleg Salyukov checked the troops’ combat readiness. Gestures and propaganda keep the tension high. The dance, accompanied by warnings from Ukrainian President Voldymyr Zelensky himself: A few days ago he claimed that the resistance was ready to face a possible threat, although so far he has only had bombastic statements.
pressures
On the other hand, the Kremlin would have exerted great pressure and it is clear that the opening of a new front, perhaps in connection with the possible spring offensive, could cause difficulties in Kyiv. In the early days of the crisis, it was suspected that an advance from the Belarusian border would cut communications and supply routes leading north. The company then developed very differently. However, some observers continue to repeat that every war consists of phases, it is difficult to make predictions, so we rely on surveillance by espionage, satellites, the collection of electronic traces by NATO aircraft, including a new radar aircraft that became just after sent to Romania. US sources reiterated that they saw no sign of imminent intervention, a message repeated for weeks whenever Belarus hit the international news stream.
mercenary
Then there is attention to Gardservis, a Belarusian private security company founded in 2019, the only one authorized to own firearms. It consists of a thousand men, pays excellent salaries, and has assembled former members of the secret service, elite units and confidential apparatuses. The staff – according to media reports – trained by Special Forces instructors in the center of Maryina Gorka. The militia officers take courses in sabotage, infiltration, raids behind the lines. Contacts with Evgeny Prigozhin’s Wagner through the exchange of experiences are also known. One scenario does not exclude that the company could be deployed alongside the Russians in a possible attack on Ukraine. Or become an instrument of provocation.
Jan 14, 2023 (change Jan 14, 2023 | 11:18 am)
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