New survey Support for the CAQ melts the PQ

New survey | Support for the CAQ melts, the PQ enters the majority zone –

(Quebec) On the eve of the start of the electoral term, a new poll by the firm Pallas Data shows François Legault and his troops the worst result in voting intentions since the winter of 2016, when they were in opposition. Paul St-Pierre Plamondon's Parti Québécois (PQ) now leads the CAQ government by 11 points, while the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) has lost half of its voters in almost a year.

Published at 1:35 p.m.


The results of this survey, conducted on January 24 among a random sample of 1,175 adult respondents, were published on Monday by the magazine L'Actualité and the website Qc125. At the provincial level, the PQ achieved 32% of voting intentions, compared to 21% for the CAQ, 17% for Québec Solidaire (QS), 15% for the Liberals and 12% for the Conservative Party. The error rate is about 3%, or 19 out of 20.

For François Legault, his deputies after a 2023 marked by controversy (increase in the salaries of elected officials, bitter defeat in Jean-Talon, return of the third Quebec-Lévis road link, grant for the arrival of the Kings of Los Angeles at the Videotron Center, historic education strike, etc.) This new investigation sets the tone for the new political year that begins in Quebec.

When he returned to power for a second term in October 2022, the CAQ received 41% of the vote. As of January 2024, it has only 21% support.

L'Actualité also analyzes that the PQ's lead among French-speaking voters is even greater. In this subsample of voters, Mr St-Pierre Plamondon's troops achieve 37% of voting intentions, compared to 24% for the CAQ. The PQ is also ahead in this latest survey in the Greater Montreal area (against the Liberals in second place) and in the Capitale-Nationale.

According to Philippe J. Fournier of the website Qc125, these new results put the PQ in the majority zone if elections were held this winter. The next parliamentary elections are scheduled for October 2026.

As for the Liberal Party of Quebec (PLQ), the QS and the Conservatives, the new poll from Pallas Data finds that the three political parties are virtually at status quo compared to the results of last fall's polls.